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작성자 Drew Mullens 작성일 25-01-04 08:27 조회 29 댓글 0본문
At the stage of the hype cycle, it is usually true that nearly every company is trying to put on the AI mantle, just as each company within the 1990s aspired to have a dot-com presence and lots of corporations claimed to have "person-intensive" platforms within the final one, As investors, separating the wheat from the chaff will only get tougher in the coming months and years, and it is part of the educational course of. Much of the excited response to NVIDIA's most recent earnings report got here from the corporate reporting a surge in its knowledge heart revenues, with much of the rise coming from AI chips. As you take a look at NVIDIA's progress and success in the final decade, and its latest ascent into the rarefied air of "trillion dollar market cap" firms, there are two impulses that come into play. The AI story has particular resonance with NVIDIA as a result of not like most different firms, the place it is mostly hand-waving about potential, it has substance in place already and a market that's its target. As you will notice in the next part, the AI impact on NVIDIA comes from the increased demand for AI-optimized laptop chips, and as that market is expected to grow exponentially, the companies that can grab a large share of this market will profit.
To the argument that you might buy a portfolio of firms that can benefit from AI and become profitable from the few that succeed, past market expertise means that this portfolio is extra likely to be over than under priced. The second is that NVIDIA has a lead over its competitors, and whereas AMD, Intel and TSMC will all allocate sources to building their AI companies, NVIDIA's dominance will not crack easily. The second is that the early leaders in these companies have usually fallen to the wayside and never turn out to be the big winners. Even if I concede the first declare (though I believe that the AI replacements can be neither as environment friendly nor as cost-saving as promised), I'm much more wary of the second declare for a simple reason. If every company has AI, and AI reduces costs and will increase efficiency as promised for all of them, it is far more possible that they are going to find yourself with decrease costs for his or her merchandise/services and never larger profits. Of course, but we are in the hype phase, where far more will likely be promised than will be delivered, but the most important targets will come into focus sooner fairly than later.
The first is that these modifications have given rise to companies the place there are a number of big winners, with a number of corporations dominating the house, and we've got seen this paradigm play out with software, online commerce, smartphones and social media. Major media shops are fawning over the truth that ladies are taking over high positions in the country’s largest weapons firms and in U.S. All major NAND distributors are researching 3D learn/write, أسعار الدولار مباشر Harari mentioned. The novel, which depicted the sinking of the swordfish boat Andrea Gail, together with all its crew, grew to become a significant movement image. Second, any regulation or legislation that's aimed at preventing AI's excesses will almost actually set in motion unintended penalties, that no less than in some instances shall be worse than the issues that the regulation/law was supposed to hold in check. The largest pluses of AI, at the least as offered by its promoters, is that it'll permit corporations to cut back costs (primarily by changing handbook labor with AI-pushed purposes) and make them more environment friendly, and by extension, more profitable. The driver of NVIDIA's success has been its excessive-performance GPU playing cards, but it is extremely possible that the businesses that bought these cards and drove NVIDIA's success in the final decade might be totally different from the companies that will make it profitable in the subsequent one.
At the danger of repeating one in every of my favourite sayings, "If everybody has it, nobody does" and it is the basis for my argument that AI, if it succeeds, will make corporations less worthwhile, in the aggregate. In simple phrases, a higher Australian dollar hurts exporters and companies that earn a living offshore whereas benefiting importers that end up paying less for their purchases. While there is a large amount of uncertainty about this estimate, there are two assertions that may be made about NVIDIA's presence in this enterprise. This software program can take a number of types, from AI platforms, chatbots, deep learning algorithms (together with picture and voice recognition, as well as pure language processing) and machine studying, and while there's much less kind and extra uncertainty to this a part of the AI enterprise, it doubtlessly has a lot higher upside than hardware, precisely for a similar reason. Software: AI hardware, by itself, has little worth except it's twinned with software that can take advantage of that computing energy. Which means you may deduct the charges you paid anybody that helped you file -- and even what you paid for tax preparation software or e-filing.
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